The Western States Water Council (WSWC) and the California Department of Water Resources (CDWR) cosponsored a workshop to continue a dialogue among western states, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and the research community on improving sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) precipitation forecasting to support water management decisionmaking. The workshop was held in San Diego, California on May 7-9, at the Homewood Suites by Hilton San Diego Downtown/Bayside.
AGENDA
Draft Summary of Workshop
PRESENTATIONS:
Wednesday, May 7th
S2S Coalition Activities, Appropriations & Reauthorization
Jeanine Jones, California Department of Water Resources
Review of Scripps Subseasonal Forecasts for WY 2024, Defining Forecast Skill
Mike DeFlorio, UC San Diego
Investigating Potential Subseasonal Predictability From the MJO
Jiabao Wang, Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego
Atmospheric Rivers as Disruptors of ENSO Canonical Precipitation Anomalies in the Southwestern US
Rosy Luna Nino, Scripps Institution of Oceanography at UC San Diego
ML & S2S ET Forecasting Example in California
Kevin He, California Department of Water Resources
Thursday, May 8th
S2S Predictability: First Focus Area of NCAR’s Earth System Predictability Across Timescales Initiative
Cenlin He, National Center for Atmospheric Research
CPC Regime Change Tool, Review of WY 2024 Outlooks
Emerson LaJoie, NWS Climate Prediction Center
UC Irvine Recent Work
Gudrun Magnusdottir, University of California, Irvine
S2S Predictability of Weather Regimes
Maria Janeth Molina, University of Maryland
Improving NOAA’s Unified Forecasting System Model
Lisa Bengtsson, OAR Physical Sciences Laboratory
Understanding Central Arizona Precipitation
Bo Svoma, Salt River Project
Flash Drought in the Great Plains & Its Prediction
Andy Hoell, OAR PSL
Utah’s S2S Needs and Applications
Candice Hasenyager, Utah Division of Water Resources
Friday, May 9th
Status of Nationwide FIRO Screening Process
Cary Talbot, USACE ERDC
Precipitation Forecasting to Support FIRO in Texas
Nelun Fernando, Texas Water Development Board
CDWR Roadmap to Seasonal Forecasting
Mike Anderson, California Department of Water Resources
Seasonal Predictability of Weather Regimes
Erin Towler, OAR PSL
Using Weather Regimes to Improve S2S Forecasting
Wei Zhang, Utah State University
Soil moisture, S2S, and Drought/Flood Risks
Sanjiv Kumar, Auburn University
